Tuesday, May 1, 2012

Hulu

In this article, techcrunch reports on how Hulu is going to change its current subscription model and force people to have a cable subscription to use their service.  This is a drastic change for the company, and an example on how a good can become excludable.  Before this change,  anyone could watch a show on Hulu.  Now Hulu is excluding something that they provided for free and force the consumer to have a cable subscription.  Excluding a good is quite common, and this is a good example.  What I find interesting about this example, is that it may have negative consequences for Hulu.  Hulu earned its money through ads it used for commercials.  Now with far less people using Hulu, their revenue from ads will be far lower.  It will be interesting to see if this difference is made up by the cable companies.

Source:  http://techcrunch.com/2012/04/30/rumor-hulu-will-soon-require-viewers-to-have-a-cable-subscription/

BP

BP, which stands for British Petroleum, had a larger profit drop this quarter than most analysts expected it to have.  The article says that this is due to BP having to pay for the oil spill that it had in the Gulf of Mexico.  I see this as a type of negative externality.  By having the oil spill, BP caused harm to many and now they are paying a type of pigouvian tax.  While it is not a pure pigouvian tax, it is still a sum of money the government is forcing BP to pay due to the negative externalities it caused.  Whether it is exactly equal to the social costs is questionalable, but I believe this demonstrates how a pigouvian tax, or something very similar, can be used to make up for a negative externality.

Source:  http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/05/01/bp-earnings-q1-2012_n_1466565.html?ref=business

Saturday, March 31, 2012

Lottery

This main points of this article can be explained by game theory. In this article, using empircal evidence, CNN shows that gambling on the lotto is not a very good bet.  It is unlikely on average that one will get as much out as they invest, and they get less than they would by other forms of gambling.  Why then do people play the lotto?
According to game theory, it would be inadvisable to play the lotto.  The chances of losing are very high, and one has a better strategy which is not to buy lottery tickets.  However people do; why is that?  I think that there are a few explanations, the first of which is that people don't think about the game correctly. They overestimate their chances, and this causes them to play a poor strategy.  Another explanation, is that the opportunity cost for them to buy a ticket is low, so they do.  This seems unlikely, as the article reports that many of the people who buy lottery tickets have a low income.  I think that this article shows, that knowing the results or possible outcomes of the game can help one to pick the best strategy for the game.


Source: http://money.cnn.com/2012/03/30/news/economy/lottery-bad-bet/index.htm?iid=Lead

Saudi Arabia

 In this article, it is reported that Saudi Arabia wants to do what it can to mitigate the price of oil.  Saudi Arabia also says that it would if it had control of the market, but that it sells its crude oil based on international prices.  The autor of the article finds this statement by the Saudis to be a fallacy.  In the article he talks about how OPEC, of which Saudi Arabia is the largest member, limits the supply of crude oil to the market to make prices high.
Saudi Arabia and OPEC, are parts of an oligopoly, but since they control almost all of the supply of crude oil they are able to act as a sort of monopoly.  Doing this causes them to act like a monopoly, which hurts the economy in general, and creates dead-weight loss.  Since they are a monopoly they do not want to produce any more oil then they would in a competitive market, and as we learned in class, they make a higher profit if they sell less.  They do not have as high of costs and can also charge a higher price.  This allows them to make the huge profits that they do.
The fact that Saudi Arabia and OPEC are basically a monopoly, causes policy implications for the United States.  The United States would not have such a large interest in the Middle East, if it were not for it's oil.

Source:http://www.huffingtonpost.com/raymond-j-learsy/the-price-of-oil-saudi-hy_b_1390403.html?ref=business

Wednesday, February 29, 2012

In some disappointing data for the United States economy, new orders for durable goods fell by 4% in January.  Durable goods are equipment that companies use to produce the goods that they make.  This may seem to be downturn in an economy that has been doing better, but all is not as bad as it seems.  In 2011, there was a tax credit that allowed for a 100% reduction for any equipment bought last year.  The Wall Street Journal said that demand for durable goods, is actually rising and that it is expected to continue to rise.  One reason that is given, is an important aspect of the suppy curve; technology.  Companies are upgrading their technology so that they may be more efficient and not need as many workers.  This should cause a shift in in the suppy curve.  In 2011 there was a shift out in the demand curve due to the tax credit.  While it is not exactly a change in income for the companies that bought the durable goods, I think it can be classified as such since it did affect their overall budget.  I would conclude this piece by saying that i expect the demand to rise soon and for it to continue to rise for at least the rest of 2012.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2012/02/28/equipment-demand-hasnt-dropped-out-just-taking-a-breather/?mod=WSJBlog&mod=marketbeat

Monday, February 27, 2012

Bank Fees

Last year, nearly ten percent of people changed their bank accounts.  This is far higer thatn in the past; up from 8.7% the year before and 7.7% 2 years before.  The resaon that is given is consumer dissatisfaction.  The reason that consumers are feeling dissatisfaction were the fees that they had to pay.  The article states that these fees, were, "the straw that broke the camel's back."  When the consumers switch the bank that they use, it is an example of a substitute good.  While a bank is not a product like a soda is, it is a service, and a service can have substitute goods.  This is a good example as the consumers change their taste in banks, due to the fees, and switch to another bank.  This is a change in taste because it is their preference because they do not like the fees.  In a world where substitute goods are plentiful, I believe the story to be learned here, is not to do little things to upset the consumers.  In this case certain banks did, and the consumers switched to a substitute good in the form of a different bank.



Source: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/27/switching-banks-high-fees_n_1303520.html?ref=business

Tuesday, January 31, 2012

The holiday season is normally a time when consumer spending, or in microeconomics terms "demand", increases.  This was not the case in December 2011, however.  According to The Huffington Post, consumer spending by .1 percent in December when inflation is taken into account.  They state that news that the holiday season was big, was overhyped and not factual.  One reason given as to why even though December was not a bad month for the economy, is that consumer spending declined and did not keep up with the production of goods is because the jobs that were created were primarily minimum wage jobs.
This leads me into analyzing this event from our knowledge of microeconomics.  In this case, the demand curve shifted inward as the "real wages" of consumers continued to fall.  Since consumers are making less, they have a lower disposable income, which means that the demand curve will shift inward.  This is also shown by the fact that much of the overhyping for the holiday season was caused by consumers buying goods at much lower prices.  This also correlates with our knowledge of microeconomics, because as the demand curve shifts inward, the point of equilibrium will change and be at a lower price.  Eventually one would expect that either the supply of goods will be lowered, or income will rise and the equilibrium point will shift back closer to where it has been previously.  This event should not cause panic that the economy is failing however, as the "real wages" actually rose a bit in December, but consumers put more of it towards savings.  This illustrates another concept,that of opportunity cost.  For many consumers, saving some of their income was worth more to them, then purchasing more goods.  Therefore, the opportunity cost to purchase goods fell.  My prediction is that after a period of time when consumers save a decent portion of their income, they will decide their savings are high enough and they will go back to their normal purchasing habits.

Source: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/30/illusory-holiday-shopping-spending-december-2011_n_1241238.html?ref=business